@article{d1f4d6b0795a45ca96500f992585fe9f,
title = "Uncertainty in the number of contributors in the proposed new CODIS set",
abstract = "The probability that multiple contributors are detected within a forensic DNA profile improves as more highly polymorphic loci are analysed. The assignment of the correct number of contributors to a profile is important when interpreting the DNA profiles. In this work we investigate the probability of a mixed DNA profile appearing as having originated from a fewer number of contributors for the African American, Asian, Caucasian and Hispanic US populations. We investigate a range of locus configurations from the proposed new CODIS set. These theoretical calculations are based on allele frequencies only and ignore peak heights. We show that the probability of a higher order mixture (five or six contributors) appearing as having originated from one less individual is high. This probability decreases as the number of loci tested increases.",
keywords = "Forensic DNA, Interpretation, Mixed DNA profiles",
author = "Coble, {Michael D.} and Bright, {Jo Anne} and Buckleton, {John S.} and Curran, {James M.}",
note = "Funding Information: The authors would like to acknowledge Dr. John Butler (NIST) for helpful discussions and the suggestions from two anonymous reviewers. This work was supported in part by grant 2011-DN-BX-K541 from the U.S. National Institute of Justice . Points of view in this document are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position or policies of the U.S. Department of Justice or Department of Commerce. Certain commercial equipment, instruments and materials are identified in order to specify experimental procedures as completely as possible. In no case does such identification imply a recommendation or endorsement by the National Institute of Standards and Technology nor does it imply that any of the materials, instruments or equipment identified are necessarily the best available for the purpose.",
year = "2015",
month = aug,
day = "14",
doi = "10.1016/j.fsigen.2015.07.005",
language = "English",
volume = "19",
pages = "207--211",
journal = "Forensic Science International: Genetics",
issn = "1872-4973",
publisher = "Elsevier Ireland Ltd",
}